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2 Year Modification

Plan: Puerto Rico PYs 2018-2019
Unified Plan U

Section: WIOA State Plan Common Elements

Narrative: II. a. 1. B.

Published
Located in:
  • II. Strategic Elements

    The Unified or Combined State Plan must include a Strategic Planning Elements section that analyzes the State’s current economic environment and identifies the State’s overall vision for its workforce development system. The required elements in this section allow the State to develop data-driven goals for preparing an educated and skilled workforce and to identify successful strategies for aligning workforce development programs. Unless otherwise noted, all Strategic Planning Elements apply to Combined State Plan partner programs included in the plan as well as to core programs.

II. a. 1. B. Workforce Analysis (B.I - B.IV)

The Unified or Combined State Plan must include an analysis of the current workforce, including individuals with barriers to employment, as defined in section 3 of WIOA.* This population must include individuals with disabilities among other groups** in the State and across regions identified by the State. This includes: Individuals with barriers to employment include displaced homemakers; low-income individuals; Indians, Alaska Natives, and Native Hawaiians; individuals with disabilities, including youth who are individuals with disabilities; older individuals; ex-offenders; homeless individuals, or homeless children and youths; youth who are in or have aged out of the foster care system; individuals who are English language learners, individuals who have low levels of literacy, and individuals facing substantial cultural barriers; farmworkers (as defined at section 167(i) of WIOA and Training and Employment Guidance Letter No. 35-14); individuals within 2 years of exhausting lifetime eligibility under the Temporary Assistance for Needy Families program; single parents (including single pregnant women); and long-term unemployed individuals. ** Veterans, unemployed workers, and youth, and others that the State may identify.

  • i. Employment and Unemployment

    Provide an analysis of current employment and unemployment data, including labor force participation rates, and trends in the State.

  • ii. Labor Market Trends

    Provide an analysis of key labor market trends, including across existing industries and occupations.
  • iii. Education and Skill Levels of the Workforce

    Provide an analysis of the educational and skill levels of the workforce.

  • iv. Skill Gaps

    Describe apparent ‘skill gaps’.

Current Narrative:

Among youth, attainment by local area iterates the concentration of higher education in the Metropolitan Area of San Juan, with Noreste having the lowest percentage. Postsecondary education below a bachelor's degree tends to be more widespread in its geographical distribution, with Norte Central and Carolina having the largest percentage of youth in this attainment level. Breakdown II-36. Percentage of population 16 to 24 years by local area and educational attainment, 2014 Source: ACS 5-year estimates, 2014. Bayamón-Comerío, Population 16 to 24 years, 22,626, Less than HS graduate (%), 12.4, HS graduate or GDE , 30.8, Some college or associate's degree, 50.5, Bachelor's degree or higher, 6.3; Caguas-Guayama, Population 16 to 24 years, 42,084, Less than HS graduate (%), 11.96, HS graduate or GDE , 33.76, Some college or associate's degree, 48.21, Bachelor's degree or higher, 6.08; Carolina, Population 16 to 24 years, 17,118, Less than HS graduate (%), 8.9, HS graduate or GDE , 26.7, Some college or associate's degree, 57.4, Bachelor's degree or higher, 7.1; Guaynabo-Toa Baja, Population 16 to 24 years, 28,538, Less than HS graduate (%), 13.98, HS graduate or GDE , 29.25, Some college or associate's degree, 49.03, Bachelor's degree or higher, 7.78; La Montaña, Population 16 to 24 years, 17,897, Less than HS graduate (%), 11.74, HS graduate or GDE , 35.02, Some college or associate's degree, 47.12, Bachelor's degree or higher, 6.1; Manatí-Dorado, Population 16 to 24 years, 26,550, Less than HS graduate (%), 17.89, HS graduate or GDE , 29.06, Some college or associate's degree, 47.91, Bachelor's degree or higher, 5.16; Mayagüez-Las Marías, Population 16 to 24 years, 14,625, Less than HS graduate (%), 23.55, HS graduate or GDE , 28.35, Some college or associate's degree, 41.7, Bachelor's degree or higher, 6.4; Noreste, Population 16 to 24 years, 24,356, Less than HS graduate (%), 14.09, HS graduate or GDE , 33.7, Some college or associate's degree, 49.08, Bachelor's degree or higher, 3.1; Noroeste, Population 16 to 24 years, 25,689, Less than HS graduate (%), 17.24, HS graduate or GDE , 23.89, Some college or associate's degree, 51.19, Bachelor's degree or higher, 7.69; Norte Central, Population 16 to 24 years, 29,504, Less than HS graduate (%), 13.95, HS graduate or GDE , 23.34, Some college or associate's degree, 57.8, Bachelor's degree or higher, 4.9; Ponce , Population 16 to 24 years, 17,216, Less than HS graduate (%), 13.4, HS graduate or GDE , 30.5, Some college or associate's degree, 48.4, Bachelor's degree or higher, 7.6; San Juan , Population 16 to 24 years, 37,790, Less than HS graduate (%), 14.7, HS graduate or GDE , 26.4, Some college or associate's degree, 49.6, Bachelor's degree or higher, 9.2; Sur Central, Population 16 to 24 years, 17,583, Less than HS graduate (%), 13.12, HS graduate or GDE , 34.64, Some college or associate's degree, 47.08, Bachelor's degree or higher, 5.12; Sureste , Population 16 to 24 years, 24,245, Less than HS graduate (%), 15.14, HS graduate or GDE , 31, Some college or associate's degree, 48.6, Bachelor's degree or higher, 5.26; Suroeste , Population 16 to 24 years, 25,379, Less than HS graduate (%), 17.08, HS graduate or GDE , 28.84, Some college or associate's degree, 48.13, Bachelor's degree or higher, 5.99; Puerto Rico, Population 16 to 24 years, 371,200, Less than HS graduate (%), 13.9, HS graduate or GDE , 28.8, Some college or associate's degree, 50.8, Bachelor's degree or higher, 6.5 As reported by the DE, for the fiscal year 2017, the dropout rates in the public education system reached 2.89%; with 1.66% in primary education (4,311 out of 259,847), 5.05% in secondary education (5,991 out of 118,676) and 6.93% in special education (1,068 out of 15,419). The school districts with the highest dropout rates are Carolina (4.14%), Toa Baja (3.98%) and San Juan I (3.88%). From academic year 2012 to 2015, there was a decreased of 13,519 career and technical education students, albeit there was an increase of 39 new institutions created in that period. The drop in graduates was more than double for females (7,992) than for males (3,762). Among local workforce areas, the largest drop in graduates was located in San Juan, which amassed close to two-thirds of the aggregate loss for all areas. Caguas-Guayama had the largest increase among the areas than gained in career and technical graduates. In terms of its effects on nontraditional employment, the gender distribution of individuals enrolled in career and technical education, and meeting the threshold of less than 25% for either gender, is noticeable for some instructional programs. According to the PREC, occupations in Architecture and engineering, Education, training and library services, Healthcare support, Protective services, Construction and extraction, Installation, maintenance and repair, and Transportation and Materials moving, were significantly skewed by gender. Breakdown II-37 — Technical and Vocational Programs by Academic Area Source: PREC, PLDEUC, academic year 2016-17. CIP Code, 0, Others, Programs, 15; CIP Code, 1, Agriculture, agriculture operations and related sciences, Programs, 18; CIP Code, 3, Natural Resource and Conservation, Programs, 13; CIP Code, 10, Communications technologies/technicians and support services, Programs, 11; CIP Code, 11, Computer and information sciences and support services, Programs, 81; CIP Code, 12, Personal anc Culinary Services, Programs, 477; CIP Code, 13, Educaction, Programs, 48; CIP Code, 14, Engineering, Programs, 1; CIP Code, 15, Engineering technologies and engineering-related fields, Programs, 78; CIP Code, 19, Family and consumer sciences/human sciences, Programs, 46; CIP Code, 22, Legal Professions and Studies, Programs, 18; CIP Code, 23, English Language and Literature/Letters, Programs, 4; CIP Code, 30, Multi/Interdisciplinary Studies, Programs, 10; CIP Code, 31, Parks, Recreation, Leisure and Fitness Studies, Programs, 26; CIP Code, 32, Basic Skills Education, Programs, 8; CIP Code, 37, Personal awareness and self-improvement, Programs, 3; CIP Code, 40, Physical sciences, Programs, 3; CIP Code, 43, Security and Protective Services, Programs, 51;CIP Code, 46, Construction trades, Programs, 87 CIP Code, 47, Mechanic and repair technologies/technicians, Programs, 239;CIP Code, 48, Precision production, Programs, 21; CIP Code, 49, Transportation and materials moving, Programs, 4; CIP Code, 50, Visual and performance Arts, Programs, 70; CIP Code, 51, Health professions and related programs, Programs, 400; CIP Code, 52, Business Management, Marketing and Related Suppport Services, Programs, 150; CIP Code, 53, Programs for Series 53, Programs, 5 Breakdown II-38. CTE graduates by sex, 2016-17 Source: PREC, PLDEUC, academic year 2016-17. CIP Code, 12, Personal anc Culinary Services, Total graduates, 8,918, Male, 2,992, Female, 5,926; CIP Code, 51, Health professions and related programs, Total graduates, 6,197, Male, 1,617, Female, 4,580; CIP Code, 47, Mechanic and repair technologies/technicians, Total graduates, 3,004, Male, 2,842, Female, 162; CIP Code, 52, Business Management, Marketing and Related Suppport Services, Total graduates, 1,282, Male, 465, Female, 817; CIP Code, 15, Engineering technologies and engineering-related fields, Total graduates, 1,191, Male, 1,137, Female, 54; CIP Code, 46, Construction trades, Total graduates, 920, Male, 881, Female, 39; CIP Code, 50, Visual and performance Arts, Total graduates, 737, Male, 240, Female, 497; CIP Code, 13, Top of Form, Total graduates, 628, Male, 335, Female, 293; CIP Code,13 , Educaction, Total graduates, 628 , Male, 335 , Female, 293; CIP Code, 48, Precision production, Total graduates, 627, Male, 615, Female, 12; CIP Code, 11, Computer and information sciences and support services, Total graduates, 499, Male, 406, Female, 93; CIP Code, 19, Family and consumer sciences/human sciences, Total graduates, 443, Male, 80, Female, 363; CIP Code, 10, Communications technologies/technicians and support services, Total graduates, 298, Male, 268, Female, 30; CIP Code, 43, Security and Protective Services, Total graduates, 280, Male, 163, Female, 117; CIP Code, 31, Parks, Recreation, Leisure and Fitness Studies, Total graduates, 242, Male, 147, Female, 95; CIP Code, 53, Programs for Series 53, Total graduates, 224, Male, 119, Female, 105; CIP Code, 1, Agriculture, agriculture operations and related sciences, Total graduates, 127, Male, 45, Female, 82; CIP Code, 24, Liberal Arts and Sciences, Total graduates, 47, Male, 20, Female, 27; CIP Code, 37, Personal awareness and self-improvement, Total graduates, 45, Male, 9, Female, 36; CIP Code, 30, Multi/Interdisciplinary Studies, Total graduates, 40, Male, 22, Female, 18; CIP Code, 36, Leisure and Recreational Activities, Total graduates, 14, Male, 4, Female, 10; CIP Code, 14, Engineering, Total graduates, 14, Male, 13, Female, 1; CIP Code, 32, Basic Skills Education, Total graduates, 11, Male, 6, Female, 5; CIP Code, 49, Transportation and materials moving, Total graduates, 11, Male, 10, Female, 1; CIP Code, 22, Legal Professions and Studies, Total graduates, 10, Male, 5, Female, 5; CIP Code, 26, Biological and Biomedical Sciences, Total graduates, 3, Male, 3, Female, 0; Total graduates, 25,812, Male, 12,444, Female, 13,368 II(a)(1)(B)(iv) Skills Gaps. Describe apparent ‘skill gaps’. A bachelor degree or higher credential was required for 3 out of every 4 occupations requiring postsecondary education in 2014. Close to 63% required no formal credential or attainment beyond high school or equivalent. The requirement of bachelor degree or higher drops to less than 2 in 3 for 2022 projected job openings. However, a bachelor's degree or higher attainment represented less than a third of total postsecondary completions in FY 2014. In fact, education in the middle-skilled level of postsecondary education has grown exponentially in the past decade, going from just under 7,000 graduates in FY 2001 to almost 28,000 in FY 2014; career and technical education has also climbed from close to 10,000 graduates in FY 2006 to more than 34,000 in FY 2014. Comparatively, State funding for CTE in FY 2015 was less than one-tenth of that of higher education: $87.4 million and $931.5, respectively. Breakdown II-39. Educational attainment, completions and required educational level by occupations and job openings, 2016, 2026 Source: PREC, PLEDUC-CES 2016-2017. USDOL, OES 2016. PRDOLHR, Long-term occupation projections: 2016-2026. High school or less, or no formal credential, Completions FY2014, NA, Occupations in May 2016 requiring, 571,290, Projected job openings in 2026 requiring, 271,062; Post-secondary education, less than bachelor's degree, Completions FY2015, 53,586, Occupations in May 2016 requiring, 76,430, Projected job openings in 2026 requiring, 30,617; Bachelor's degree or higher, Completions FY2016, 27,468, Occupations in May 2016 requiring, 255,210, Projected job openings in 2026 requiring, 55,864 A skills gap approximation was derived from correlating occupational data (OES estimates for 2014), new and replacement growth (PRDOLHR's Long-Term Projections 2012-2022) and post-secondary completions (PREC, 2010-2014), via cross-walking two-digit CIP Codes to SOC Codes, purging duplicates and weighing against projected job openings. An estimation of the projected gap between post-secondary completions and projected openings was reached for 2012-2022, as shown below: Breakdown II-40. Postsecondary skills and occupations gap estimation, 2016-2026 Source: PRDOLHR, Long-Term Projections, 2016-2026; OES, 2016; CEPR-PLEDUC, 2016-17. SOC , 11-9199, Managers, All Other, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, -12,576; SOC , 13-2011, Accountants and Auditors, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, -5,270; SOC , 53-3032, Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers, Postsecondary nondegree award, Lag Surplus, -3,733; SOC , 25-2021, Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, -3,127; SOC , 43-3031, Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks, Some college, no degree, Lag Surplus, -2,420; SOC , 25-2031, Secondary School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, -1,913; SOC , 11-1021, General and Operations Managers, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, -1,595; SOC , 11-3031, Financial Managers, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, -937; SOC , 25-4031, Library Technicians, Postsecondary nondegree award, Lag Surplus, -837; SOC , 21-1099, Community and Social Service Specialists, All Other, Master's degree, Lag Surplus, -717; SOC , 21-1021, Child, Family, and School Social Workers, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, -682; SOC , 11-3011, Administrative Services Managers, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, -600; SOC , 11-9021, Construction Managers, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, -500; SOC , 29-1123, Physical Therapists, Doctoral or professional degree, Lag Surplus, -441; SOC , 27-1024, Graphic Designers, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, -367; SOC , 13-1022, Wholesale and Retail Buyers, Except Farm Products, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, -332; SOC , 19-2031, Chemists, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, -332; SOC , 19-4099, Life, Physical, and Social Science Technicians, All Other, Associate's degree, Lag Surplus, -320; SOC , 13-1121, Meeting, Convention, and Event Planners, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, -309; SOC , 41-4011, Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing, Technical and Scientific Products, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, -294; SOC , 19-4031, Chemical Technicians, Associate's degree, Lag Surplus, -288; SOC , 21-1029, Social Workers, All Other, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, -266; SOC , 23-2011, Paralegals and Legal Assistants, Associate's degree, Lag Surplus, -239; SOC , 11-9151, Social and Community Service Managers, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, -173; SOC , 11-2022, Sales Managers, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, -171; SOC , 11-2021, Marketing Managers, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, -163; SOC , 27-1011, Art Directors, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, -148; SOC , 21-1023, Mental Health and Substance Abuse Social Workers, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, -144; SOC , 29-1031, Dietitians and Nutritionists, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, -139; SOC , 13-1111, Management Analysts, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, -136; SOC , 27-3091, Interpreters and Translators, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, -132; SOC , 27-3031, Public Relations Specialists, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, -128; SOC , 19-1012, Food Scientists and Technologists, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, -124; SOC , 13-1071, Human Resources Specialists, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, -123; SOC , 19-2041, Environmental Scientists and Specialists, Including Health, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, -118; SOC , 13-1023, Purchasing Agents, Except Wholesale, Retail, and Farm Products, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, -106; SOC , 13-2051, Financial Analysts, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, -102; SOC , 25-2032, Career/Technical Education Teachers, Secondary School, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, -97; SOC , 13-2072, Loan Officers, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, -87; SOC , 27-3041, Editors, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, -83; SOC , 27-3043, Writers and Authors, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, -76; SOC , 11-3061, Purchasing Managers, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, -74; SOC , 27-3022, Reporters and Correspondents, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, -73; SOC , 53-2021, Air Traffic Controllers, Associate's degree, Lag Surplus, -63; SOC , 53-5021, Captains, Mates, and Pilots of Water Vessels, Postsecondary nondegree award, Lag Surplus, -57; SOC , 41-3031, Securities, Commodities, and Financial Services Sales Agents, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, -56; SOC , 13-2041, Credit Analysts, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, -56; SOC , 19-4091, Environmental Science and Protection Technicians, Including Health, Associate's degree, Lag Surplus, -56; SOC , 13-2053, Insurance Underwriters, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, -55; SOC , 19-2099, Physical Scientists, All Other, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, -52;SOC , 25-2022, Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, -50; SOC , 13-2031, Budget Analysts, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, -50; SOC , 13-2081, Tax Examiners and Collectors, and Revenue Agents, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, -46 SOC , 27-2022, Coaches and Scouts, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, -45; SOC , 19-1022, Microbiologists, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, -41; SOC , 13-1081, Logisticians, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, -40; SOC , 13-2052, Personal Financial Advisors, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, -34; SOC , 11-3051, Industrial Production Managers, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, -34; SOC , 11-9039, Education Administrators, All Other, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, -34; SOC , 43-9111, Statistical Assistants, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, -34; SOC , 11-9031, Education Administrators, Preschool and Childcare Center/Program, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, -32; SOC , 13-2061, Financial Examiners, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, -32; SOC , 13-1021, Buyers and Purchasing Agents, Farm Products, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, -25; SOC , 13-1051, Cost Estimators, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, -25; SOC , 19-1099, Life Scientists, All Other, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, -24; SOC , 13-2099, Financial Specialists, All Other, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, -23; SOC , 53-2011, Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, -23; SOC , 27-1021, Commercial and Industrial Designers, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, -23; SOC , 25-2012, Kindergarten Teachers, Except Special Education, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, -16; SOC , 19-3031, Clinical, Counseling, and School Psychologists, Doctoral or professional degree, Lag Surplus, -14; SOC , 13-2021, Appraisers and Assessors of Real Estate, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, -13; SOC , 29-2051, Dietetic Technicians, Associate's degree, Lag Surplus, -13; SOC , 25-1191, Graduate Teaching Assistants, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, -12; SOC , 25-4013, Museum Technicians and Conservators, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, -10; SOC , 27-4011, Audio and Video Equipment Technicians, Postsecondary nondegree award, Lag Surplus, -10; SOC , 13-2071, Credit Counselors, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, -9; SOC , 25-9099, Education, Training, and Library Workers, All Other, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, -8; SOC , 19-2021, Atmospheric and Space Scientists, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, -7; SOC , 19-4093, Forest and Conservation Technicians, Associate's degree, Lag Surplus, -4 SOC , 41-9031, Sales Engineers, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, -2; SOC , 25-1111, Criminal Justice and Law Enforcement Teachers, Postsecondary, Doctoral or professional degree, Lag Surplus, 3; SOC , 25-1054, Physics Teachers, Postsecondary, Doctoral or professional degree, Lag Surplus, 3; SOC , 25-1113, Social Work Teachers, Postsecondary, Doctoral or professional degree, Lag Surplus, 4; SOC , 25-1126, Philosophy and Religion Teachers, Postsecondary, Doctoral or professional degree, Lag Surplus, 6; SOC , 25-1193, Recreation and Fitness Studies Teachers, Postsecondary, Doctoral or professional degree, Lag Surplus, 7; SOC , 29-1066, Psychiatrists, Doctoral or professional degree, Lag Surplus, 9; SOC , 17-3011, Architectural and Civil Drafters, Associate's degree, Lag Surplus, 9; SOC , 25-1125, History Teachers, Postsecondary, Doctoral or professional degree, Lag Surplus, 10; SOC , 25-1022, Mathematical Science Teachers, Postsecondary, Doctoral or professional degree, Lag Surplus, 12; SOC , 25-1052, Chemistry Teachers, Postsecondary, Doctoral or professional degree, Lag Surplus, 12; SOC , 25-1067, Sociology Teachers, Postsecondary, Doctoral or professional degree, Lag Surplus, 13; SOC , 25-1123, English Language and Literature Teachers, Postsecondary, Doctoral or professional degree, Lag Surplus, 14; SOC , 19-3011, Economists, Master's degree, Lag Surplus, 19; SOC , 25-1124, Foreign Language and Literature Teachers, Postsecondary, Doctoral or professional degree, Lag Surplus, 19; SOC , 25-1112, Law Teachers, Postsecondary, Doctoral or professional degree, Lag Surplus, 19; SOC , 25-1069, Social Sciences Teachers, Postsecondary, All Other, Doctoral or professional degree, Lag Surplus, 19; SOC , 25-4011, Archivists, Master's degree, Lag Surplus, 21; SOC , 25-1066, Psychology Teachers, Postsecondary, Doctoral or professional degree, Lag Surplus, 21; SOC , 25-1032, Engineering Teachers, Postsecondary, Doctoral or professional degree, Lag Surplus, 23; SOC , 29-1065, Pediatricians, General, Doctoral or professional degree, Lag Surplus, 24; SOC , 27-1025, Interior Designers, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, 24; SOC , 25-1042, Biological Science Teachers, Postsecondary, Doctoral or professional degree, Lag Surplus, 27; SOC , 29-1063, Internists, General, Doctoral or professional degree, Lag Surplus, 27; SOC , 25-9021, Farm and Home Management Advisors, Master's degree, Lag Surplus, 27; SOC , 25-1021, Computer Science Teachers, Postsecondary, Doctoral or professional degree, Lag Surplus, 35; SOC , 29-1041, Optometrists, Doctoral or professional degree, Lag Surplus, 35; SOC , 27-4031, Camera Operators, Television, Video, and Motion Picture, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, 44; SOC , 17-1011, Architects, Except Landscape and Naval, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, 47; SOC , 25-1081, Education Teachers, Postsecondary, Doctoral or professional degree, Lag Surplus, 47; SOC , 29-2091, Orthotists and Prosthetists, Master's degree, Lag Surplus, 52; SOC , 19-1021, Biochemists and Biophysicists, Doctoral or professional degree, Lag Surplus, 68; SOC , 25-1011, Business Teachers, Postsecondary, Doctoral or professional degree, Lag Surplus, 72; SOC , 23-1022, Arbitrators, Mediators, and Conciliators, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, 73; SOC , 29-1062, Family and General Practitioners, Doctoral or professional degree, Lag Surplus, 75; SOC , 29-1069, Physicians and Surgeons, All Other, Doctoral or professional degree, Lag Surplus, 80; SOC , 19-1041, Epidemiologists, Master's degree, Lag Surplus, 93; SOC , 27-4014, Sound Engineering Technicians, Postsecondary nondegree award, Lag Surplus, 98; SOC , 25-1121, Art, Drama, and Music Teachers, Postsecondary, Master's degree, Lag Surplus, 100; SOC , 29-1127, Speech-Language Pathologists, Master's degree, Lag Surplus, 109; SOC , 49-3011, Aircraft Mechanics and Service Technicians, Postsecondary nondegree award, Lag Surplus, 113; SOC , 19-3039, Psychologists, All Other, Master's degree, Lag Surplus, 125; SOC , 25-1199, Postsecondary Teachers, All Other, Doctoral or professional degree, Lag Surplus, 142; SOC , 29-1051, Pharmacists, Doctoral or professional degree, Lag Surplus, 156; SOC , 29-1125, Recreational Therapists, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, 187; SOC , 21-2011, Clergy, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, 196; SOC , 25-1071, Health Specialties Teachers, Postsecondary, Doctoral or professional degree, Lag Surplus, 204;SOC , 49-2092, Electric Motor, Power Tool, and Related Repairers, Postsecondary nondegree award, Lag Surplus, 209 SOC , 19-1042, Medical Scientists, Except Epidemiologists, Doctoral or professional degree, Lag Surplus, 214; SOC , 13-1032, Insurance Appraisers, Auto Damage, Postsecondary nondegree award, Lag Surplus, 236; SOC , 21-2099, Religious Workers, All Other, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, 244; SOC , 29-1199, Health Diagnosing and Treating Practitioners, All Other, Master's degree, Lag Surplus, 265; SOC , 19-4011, Agricultural and Food Science Technicians, Associate's degree, Lag Surplus, 294; SOC , 29-2056, Veterinary Technologists and Technicians, Associate's degree, Lag Surplus, 294; SOC , 49-2095, Electrical and Electronics Repairers, Powerhouse, Substation, and Relay, Postsecondary nondegree award, Lag Surplus, 375; SOC , 29-1129, Therapists, All Other, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, 394; SOC , 29-1122, Occupational Therapists, Master's degree, Lag Surplus, 420; SOC , 29-2053, Psychiatric Technicians, Postsecondary nondegree award, Lag Surplus, 424; SOC , 27-4012, Broadcast Technicians, Associate's degree, Lag Surplus, 449; SOC , 15-2041, Statisticians, Master's degree, Lag Surplus, 481; SOC , 19-3051, Urban and Regional Planners, Master's degree, Lag Surplus, 500; SOC , 49-2094, Electrical and Electronics Repairers, Commercial and Industrial Equipment, Postsecondary nondegree award, Lag Surplus, 604; SOC , 25-9031, Instructional Coordinators, Master's degree, Lag Surplus, 761; SOC , 21-1022, Healthcare Social Workers, Master's degree, Lag Surplus, 868; SOC , 29-2033, Nuclear Medicine Technologists, Associate's degree, Lag Surplus, 895; SOC , 49-2097, Electronic Home Entertainment Equipment Installers and Repairers, Postsecondary nondegree award, Lag Surplus, 907; SOC , 25-2011, Preschool Teachers, Except Special Education, Associate's degree, Lag Surplus, 1,019; SOC , 29-9099, Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Workers, All Other, Postsecondary nondegree award, Lag Surplus, 1,038; SOC , 19-3099, Social Scientists and Related Workers, All Other, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, 1,054; SOC , 21-1019, Counselors, All Other, Master's degree, Lag Surplus, 1,115; SOC , 21-1015, Rehabilitation Counselors, Master's degree, Lag Surplus, 1,198; SOC , 25-1072, Nursing Instructors and Teachers, Postsecondary, Master's degree, Lag Surplus, 1,221; SOC , 21-1014, Mental Health Counselors, Master's degree, Lag Surplus, 1,298; SOC , 21-1012, Educational, Guidance, School, and Vocational Counselors, Master's degree, Lag Surplus, 1,308; SOC , 31-9094, Medical Transcriptionists, Postsecondary nondegree award, Lag Surplus, 1,376; SOC , 25-4021, Librarians, Master's degree, Lag Surplus, 1,407; SOC , 11-9032, Education Administrators, Elementary and Secondary School, Master's degree, Lag Surplus, 1,565; SOC , 11-9033, Education Administrators, Postsecondary, Master's degree, Lag Surplus, 1,617; SOC , 49-2022, Telecommunications Equipment Installers and Repairers, Except Line Installers, Postsecondary nondegree award, Lag Surplus, 1,855; SOC , 29-2054, Respiratory Therapy Technicians, Associate's degree, Lag Surplus, 1,970; SOC , 29-2031, Cardiovascular Technologists and Technicians, Associate's degree, Lag Surplus, 2,037; SOC , 23-2091, Court Reporters, Postsecondary nondegree award, Lag Surplus, 2,163; SOC , 27-2012, Producers and Directors, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, 2,225; SOC , 21-1091, Health Educators, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, 2,334; SOC , 29-2032, Diagnostic Medical Sonographers, Associate's degree, Lag Surplus, 2,377; SOC , 11-2011, Advertising and Promotions Managers, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, 2,545; SOC , 11-2031, Public Relations and Fundraising Managers, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, 2,606; SOC , 27-3011, Radio and Television Announcers, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, 2,612; SOC , 49-2011, Computer, Automated Teller, and Office Machine Repairers, Some college, no degree, Lag Surplus, 2,679’; SOC , 27-4032, Film and Video Editors, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, 2,714; SOC , 31-9011, Massage Therapists, Postsecondary nondegree award, Lag Surplus, 2,752; SOC , 29-1126, Respiratory Therapists, Associate's degree, Lag Surplus, 2,814; SOC , 19-4021, Biological Technicians, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, 3,203; SOC , 31-2021, Physical Therapist Assistants, Associate's degree, Lag Surplus, 3,273; SOC , 11-9111, Medical and Health Services Managers, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, 3,628; SOC , 11-3021, Computer and Information Systems Managers, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, 4,070; SOC , 29-2012, Medical and Clinical Laboratory Technicians, Associate's degree, Lag Surplus, 4,379; SOC , 23-1011, Lawyers, Doctoral or professional degree, Lag Surplus, 4,619; SOC , 13-1041, Compliance Officers, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, 4,728; SOC , 39-5092, Manicurists and Pedicurists, Postsecondary nondegree award, Lag Surplus, 5,016; SOC , 17-3023, Electrical and Electronics Engineering Technicians, Associate's degree, Lag Surplus, 5,076; SOC , 49-9021, Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers, Postsecondary nondegree award, Lag Surplus, 5,083; SOC , 17-3026, Industrial Engineering Technicians, Associate's degree, Lag Surplus, 5,280; SOC , 17-2051, Civil Engineers, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, 5,367; SOC , 31-9092, Medical Assistants, Postsecondary nondegree award, Lag Surplus, 5,523; SOC , 17-2112, Industrial Engineers, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, 5,546; SOC , 29-2034, Radiologic Technologists, Associate's degree, Lag Surplus, 5,617; SOC , 17-3022, Civil Engineering Technicians, Associate's degree, Lag Surplus, 5,624; SOC , 17-3025, Environmental Engineering Technicians, Associate's degree, Lag Surplus, 5,629; SOC , 17-3013, Mechanical Drafters, Associate's degree, Lag Surplus, 5,638; SOC , 17-3029, Engineering Technicians, Except Drafters, All Other, Associate's degree, Lag Surplus, 5,650; SOC , 17-3027, Mechanical Engineering Technicians, Associate's degree, Lag Surplus, 5,702; SOC , 17-3012, Electrical and Electronics Drafters, Associate's degree, Lag Surplus, 5,714; SOC , 17-3019, Drafters, All Other, Associate's degree, Lag Surplus, 5,736; SOC , 17-3024, Electro-Mechanical Technicians, Associate's degree, Lag Surplus, 5,767; SOC , 17-2141, Mechanical Engineers, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, 6,081; SOC , 11-9041, Architectural and Engineering Managers, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, 6,384; SOC , 17-2071, Electrical Engineers, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, 6,466; SOC , 21-1092, Probation Officers and Correctional Treatment Specialists, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, 6,473; SOC , 23-1023, Judges, Magistrate Judges, and Magistrates, Doctoral or professional degree, Lag Surplus, 6,536; SOC , 23-1021, Administrative Law Judges, Adjudicators, and Hearing Officers, Doctoral or professional degree, Lag Surplus, 6,627; SOC , 17-2199, Engineers, All Other, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, 6,643; SOC , 17-2072, Electronics Engineers, Except Computer, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, 6,670; SOC , 17-2061, Computer Hardware Engineers, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, 6,675; SOC , 29-2011, Medical and Clinical Laboratory Technologists, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, 6,712; SOC , 15-2031, Operations Research Analysts, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, 6,729; SOC , 17-2081, Environmental Engineers, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, 6,738; SOC , 17-1022, Surveyors, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, 6,765; SOC , 17-2111, Health and Safety Engineers, Except Mining Safety Engineers and Inspectors, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, 6,773; SOC , 11-9121, Natural Sciences Managers, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, 6,790; SOC , 17-2021, Agricultural Engineers, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, 6,796; SOC , 17-2031, Chemical Engineers, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, 6,803; SOC , 17-2131, Materials Engineers, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, 6,825; SOC , 29-2041, Emergency Medical Technicians and Paramedics, Postsecondary nondegree award, Lag Surplus, 7,047; SOC , 13-1199, Business Operations Specialists, All Other, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, 7,279; SOC , 49-9062, Medical Equipment Repairers, Associate's degree, Lag Surplus, 7,878; SOC , 49-2021, Radio, Cellular, and Tower Equipment Installers and Repairers, Associate's degree, Lag Surplus, 8,024; SOC , 49-2091, Avionics Technicians, Associate's degree, Lag Surplus, 8,128; SOC , 49-9061, Camera and Photographic Equipment Repairers, Associate's degree, Lag Surplus, 8,148; SOC , 29-2055, Surgical Technologists, Postsecondary nondegree award, Lag Surplus, 8,762; SOC , 29-9011, Occupational Health and Safety Specialists, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, 8,829; SOC , 11-9061, Funeral Service Managers, Associate's degree, Lag Surplus, 9,406; SOC , 43-4161, Human Resources Assistants, Except Payroll and Timekeeping, Associate's degree, Lag Surplus, 10,241; SOC , 25-1194, Vocational Education Teachers, Postsecondary, Bachelor's degree, Lag Surplus, 13,584; SOC , 29-2071, Medical Records and Health Information Technicians, Postsecondary nondegree award, Lag Surplus, 15,769; SOC , 39-5094, Skincare Specialists, Postsecondary nondegree award, Lag Surplus, 16,536; SOC , 49-3023, Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics, Postsecondary nondegree award, Lag Surplus, 18,039; SOC , 31-9091, Dental Assistants, Postsecondary nondegree award, Lag Surplus, 19,018; SOC , 29-2061, Licensed Practical and Licensed Vocational Nurses, Postsecondary nondegree award, Lag Surplus, 37,106; SOC , 25-9041, Teacher Assistants, Some college, no degree, Lag Surplus, 44,777 Due to outmigration trends, a study commissioned by the PRDH set out to estimate the needs for physicians. The study (The Demand and Supply of Physicians in Puerto Rico: historical trends and forecasting 2013 to 2019), forecasted no shortage of physicians between 2016 and 2019, but instead a surplus of 601 physicians. In terms of Primary Care Physicians, the forecasted values would result in a surplus of 283 for the period. The difference between the number of new professional licenses issued and the number of completions in related major instructional programs might reflect the pattern in certain occupations which historically have had a significant share of students accessing higher education in other States. Breakdown II-41. Local IHE completions and licenses issued for selected professions, FY 2014, CY 2015 Source: PRDH, Office of Regulation and Certification of Health Professionals Medical Licensure and Disciplinary Board; PRDOS, Auxiliary Secretariat of State Examining Boards. CIP Code, 04, Architecture and environmental design, Local IHE completions FY 2014, 124, SOC Code, 17-1011 17-1012, Architect and Landscape Architects, Licenses issued , 413; CIP Code, 14, Engineering, Local IHE completions FY 2014, 1,289, SOC Code, 17-2000 17-1020, Engineers and Land Surveyors, CY 2015, 2,155; CIP Code, 40, Physical and chemical sciences, Local IHE completions FY 2014, 324, SOC Code, 19-2031, Chemists, Licenses issued , 419.