Located in:
- Senior Community Service Employment Program (SCSEP)
(OMB Control No. 1205-0040)
a. 1. Discuss long-term projections for jobs in industries and occupations in the State that may provide employment opportunities for older workers. (20 CFR 641.302(d)) (May alternatively be discussed in the economic analysis section of strategic plan.)
Current Narrative:
The industry and Occupational Projections through 2028 (table 1) shows the largest component of growth is health care and social assistance (adding 33,102 jobs). This is followed by Accommodation and Food Services (adding 22,745 jobs) ,Professional Scientific, and Technical Services (adding 9,966 jobs) and Other Services, Except Public Administration (adding 8,714 jobs).
Table 1:
Table 2 indicates the Industry forecast for all industries in Louisiana using 2020 base employment data. It is shown that statewide there were 1,789,618 jobs in 2020 and a projection of 99, 962 to be added in 2022.
Louisiana’s labor force participation rate, the percentage of Louisiana’s population either working or seeking employment, increased from April 2020 at a rate of 54.7 percent to 58.8 percent in April 2022. Louisiana is expected to add 99,962 jobs (6% increase), which is below pre-pandemic levels (2019:Q4). Every region in the state is expected to add 3% - 10% jobs with an exception of the Lake Charles region. The New Orleans area is projected to add 24,760 jobs, the Baton Rouge area is projected to add 31,097 jobs, the Houma area is projected to add 8,384 jobs, the Lafayette area is projected to add 15,692 jobs, the Lake Charles area is projected to lose 2,097 jobs, the Alexandria area is projected to add 4,985 jobs, the Shreveport area is projected to add 12,573 jobs, and the Monroe area is projected to add 6,756 jobs. Most sectors outside of oil and gas extraction and manufacturing are now experiencing growth. At the current pace of recovery, Louisiana is expected to regain COVID-related job losses in the first quarter of 2023.
Major Industries in Louisiana
Top 5 Growing Industries in Louisiana
The tables above indicate the industries that will experience the most growth in 2022. It is forecasted that Accommodation and Food Services (24,821 jobs), Manufacturing (18,536 jobs), Health Care and Social Assistance (15,638 jobs), Retail Trade (11,734 jobs), and Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services (8,663 jobs).
Moreover, the industry projections shown in the above tables reflect the growing needs for training and continual workforce development efforts that focus on new, high skill jobs. As previously shown, the industries with the most constant growth are Accommodation and Food Services, Manufacturing, Health Care and Social Assistance, Retail Trade, and Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services. These industries consist of jobs such as Food Preparation Workers, Cashiers, Customers Service Representatives, Home Health Aides, Nursing Assistants, Office Clerks, Janitors, Personal Care Aides, Registered Nurses, Waiters/Waitresses, Laborers/Freight Stock, and Maintenance/Repair Workers etc. Many of the employment opportunities are suitable for older workers, however some may require additional training or education.
Below is a chart taken from a study which reflects the “Long Term Annual Demand of Top Occupations to the Year 2028 Sorted by the Total Annual Demand”
State of Louisiana
Long Term Projections for top Occupations to 2028-Based on Education and Training
| Occupational Title | 2018 Employment | 2028 Employment | 10 Year Growth | Percent Change | Most Significant Source of Education or Training 5 | Work Experience | Job Training |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cashiers | 64115 | 63392 | -723 | -1.13 | No formal educational credential | None | Short-term on-the-job training |
| Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including Fast Food | 19480 | 23093 | 3613 | 18.55 | No formal educational credential | None | Short-term on-the-job training |
| Cooks and Food Preparation Workers | 68646 | 75944 | 7298 | 10.63 | None | None | None |
| Customer Service Representatives | 23876 | 23499 | -377 | -1.58 | High school diploma or equivalent | None | Short-term on-the-job training |
| First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers | 22358 | 22418 | 60 | 0.27 | High school diploma or equivalent | Less than 5 years | None |
| First-Line Supervisors of Retail Sales Workers | 25075 | 25602 | 527 | 2.1 | High school diploma or equivalent | Less than 5 years | None |
| Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations | 185742 | 205891 | 20149 | 10.85 | None | None | None |
| Food Preparation Workers | 36631 | 40192 | 3561 | 9.72 | No formal educational credential | None | Short-term on-the-job training |
| Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers | 21548 | 22785 | 1237 | 5.74 | Postsecondary non-degree award | None | Short-term on-the-job training |
| Home Health Aides | 4734 | 6456 | 1722 | 36.38 | High school diploma or equivalent | None | Short-term on-the-job training |
| Home Health and Personal Care Aides | 12721 | 13894 | 1173 | 9.22 | None | None | None |
| Janitors and Cleaners, Except Maids and Housekeeping Cleaners | 24584 | 26615 | 2031 | 8.26 | No formal educational credential | None | Short-term on-the-job training |
| Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand | 43716 | 45886 | 2170 | 4.96 | No formal educational credential | None | Short-term on-the-job training |
| Licensed Practical and Licensed Vocational Nurses | 19780 | 21567 | 1787 | 9.03 | Postsecondary non-degree award | None | None |
| Maintenance and Repair Workers, General | 21237 | 22898 | 1661 | 7.82 | High school diploma or equivalent | None | Moderate-term on-the-job training |
| Nursing Assistants | 15204 | 16760 | 1556 | 10.23 | Postsecondary non-degree award | None | None |
| Nursing Assistants | 6788 | 7453 | 665 | 9.8 | None | None | None |
| Office Clerks, General | 36475 | 35529 | -946 | -2.59 | High school diploma or equivalent | None | Short-term on-the-job training |
| Personal Care Aides | 21977 | 27596 | 5619 | 25.57 | High school diploma or equivalent | None | Short-term on-the-job training |
| Receptionists and Information Clerks | 15985 | 16787 | 802 | 5.02 | High school diploma or equivalent | None | Short-term on-the-job training |
| Registered Nurses | 42035 | 47015 | 4980 | 11.85 | Bachelor's degree | None | None |
| Retail Salespersons | 58811 | 60876 | 2065 | 3.51 | No formal educational credential | None | Short-term on-the-job training |
| Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing, Technical and Scientific Products | 2930 | 3064 | 134 | 4.57 | Bachelor's degree | None | Moderate-term on-the-job training |
| Waiters and Waitresses | 35952 | 38719 | 2767 | 7.7 | No formal educational credential | None | Short-term on-the-job training |